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Playing Lotto Pick 3 at State 500:1 or Online 900:1 Payouts  
LottoPoster Forums : LOTTO THEORY, CONCEPTS AND METHODS OF PLAY : Playing Lotto Pick 3 at State 500:1 or Online 900:1 Payouts 
Topic: Playing All 120 Base Unmatched Trial Run  
Author  Message 
Colin F
Lotto Systems Tester Creator & Analyst To dream the impossible dream ... Joined: September 30 2004 Location: Australia Online Status: Offline Posts: 678 
Topic: Playing All 120 Base Unmatched Trial Run Posted: July 04 2006 at 7:44am 
Playing all the 120 Unmatched or 6Way base numbers (each base number can present in 6 ways) at 5 Dimes will cost you $30.00 at 25c per play. If it comes in you net $7.50. You can chase it for one more draw to break even at $1 per play ie you outlay $120 and if you win get $150 to pay for the $30 you lost on the previous draw plus the $120 on the current one. Alternatively, you can bet $2.00 per play at 5 Dimes (not an option on the other site) costing $240.00 which will put you $30 in front after deducting $270.00. After that you just take the loss on the chin unless you want to fork out $1,200 to put you $30 in front. You can learn a lot about Pick 3 by following what happens when you play the 120 Base Unmatched. Of course, if you play at State Payouts you can only lose as the cost of play exceeds the payout of only 500 to 1. This ia a very good reason why as a serious Pick 3 player you should play online and when you compare the two choices 5 Dimes has more options including being able to wager at up to $25 per play  the other place limits you to $1.00 per play and don't try to phone them up to complain. Firstly, let's get some jargon out of the way. Probability, quite simply, is the ratio of the favorable chances to all the outcomes. So, to win a straight in Pick 3 it is 1 in 1,000 or 1/1000 or 1:1000. Probability is more strictly expressed as something between 0, which is impossible and 1, which is certain. So 0.5 is the same as a 50/50 or 50% chance. Now, while we tend to use the word "odds" interchangeably with probability the strict definition is the ratio of Losing Outcomes (Chances) to the winning outcomes. So, the odds for winning a Pick 3 Straight are 999/1. You should understand that if odds are expressed using the divisor operator then it is not meant to be interpreted that way. In other words the notation does not infer division. You can convert from Odds to Probability and vice versa 
While we are explaining a thing or two let's get another common misconception out of the way. Lets say you buy 4 straight tickets in a Pick 3 game. The 1,000 possibilities can be divided into 4 sets of 250 numbers. The winning ticket will be in only one of the sets. So, allocating 1 ticket to each set interchangeably we see that our chances of winning are 1 in 250. Similarly, if the winning ticket in a Jackpot Lotto game is 1 in 10 million, then if you buy 10 tickets you are able to allocate interchangeably 1 ticket to each million set  so your chances of winning are 1 in a million. Getting back to playing 120 Base Unmatched. The chances of an Unmatched coming up in the draw are 720 in 1,000. If you play around with this ratio you can reduce it to very close to 13 in 18. The odds are 13 to 5 on or roughly 5 to 2 on. We use the expression "on" where your chances of winning are higher than your chances of losing. So, in every 18 draws we hopefully should get 13 wins. Calculating at 25c per play this can be summarized like so 
But that is not necessarily the case. We may get 18 wins over 18 draws which would give us a Percentage Return of 675/540 = 125%. Or we may only get 10 wins out of the 18 draws to give us a Percentage Return of 375/540 = 70% approx. The first thing you may have noticed is that digit analysis does not come into the picture and the question you should ask yourself is should it ever be a consideration. The second thing is  does it make a difference if I only play a State where there has been at least 4 Doubles in a row? Well, we shall find out in due course as we start with Louisiana which has had 4 Doubles consecutively. So our $30 is on Louisiana if playing at 25c per play or $120 if playing at $1 per play  playing all the 120 Base Unmatched starting 4th of July, 2006. Regards ps If you want to play for real highlight the numbers below then press ctrl C together to copy; locate your cursor in the text box at 5 Dimes then press ctrl V together to paste. 012, 013, 014, 015, 016, 017, 018, 019, 023, 024, 025, 026, 027, 028, 029, 034, 035, 036, 037, 038, 039, 045, 046, 047, 048, 049, 056, 057, 058, 059, 067, 068, 069, 078, 079, 089, 123, 124, 125, 126, 127, 128, 129, 134, 135, 136, 137, 138, 139, 145, 146, 147, 148, 149, 156, 157, 158, 159, 167, 168, 169, 178, 179, 189, 234, 235, 236, 237, 238, 239, 245, 246, 247, 248, 249, 256, 257, 258, 259, 267, 268, 269, 278, 279, 289, 345, 346, 347, 348, 349, 356, 357, 358, 359, 367, 368, 369, 378, 379, 389, 456, 457, 458, 459, 467, 468, 469, 478, 479, 489, 567, 568, 569, 578, 579, 589, 678, 679, 689, 789 

Lotto Draws have no relationship to one another; the integers serve just as identifiers. Any prediction calculation on one history of draws for a same type game is just as irrelevant as another.


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Colin F
Lotto Systems Tester Creator & Analyst To dream the impossible dream ... Joined: September 30 2004 Location: Australia Online Status: Offline Posts: 678 
Posted: July 05 2006 at 4:46am 
Good result first day. After 400, 288, 999 and 993 in Louisiana an Unmatched 980 came in. Rather than do the trial at 25c per play I will do it at $1.00. Just remember on any betting day if a double or triple comes in on the State Game you are playing then you've done your dough. Stake: $360.00 Now, we need to wait for the next one with 4 doubles or triples consecutively. Regards ps July 5th, 2006 Colin welcome to the "Base 120 Club". Anybody else care to join me? Here's where you go 5 Dimes. 

Lotto Draws have no relationship to one another; the integers serve just as identifiers. Any prediction calculation on one history of draws for a same type game is just as irrelevant as another.


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Colin F
Lotto Systems Tester Creator & Analyst To dream the impossible dream ... Joined: September 30 2004 Location: Australia Online Status: Offline Posts: 678 
Posted: July 12 2006 at 5:43am 
For Wednesday July 12th, 2006 Connecticut has 4 doubles consecutively, so, we'll give it a go with all 120 base unmatched at 1.00 per play. ************************************************** Missed out this time with 001 coming up in Connecticut to give 5 Doubles consecutively. Stake: $360.00 Regards ps Came in the next day as 587. It's up to you whether you chase for 1 or 2 draws. Although this is a trial I am treating the money as real  for $120 I don't chase  just wait for the next day. Chasers eventually get run over! 

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Colin F
Lotto Systems Tester Creator & Analyst To dream the impossible dream ... Joined: September 30 2004 Location: Australia Online Status: Offline Posts: 678 
Posted: July 18 2006 at 7:46pm 
Looking at the 5 Draw Stats for the 54 State Games where the 4 Draws before the last have been Doubles I see there are 838 that qualify. Of these 210 or 25.05% have resulted in another Double and 628 or 74.94% in the desired Unmatched. While this is some 3% above the odds it is not enough to be profitable at a 93.67% return. Here is a quick summary from the detailed Stats I have calculated:  State Games with qualifying Signatures: 48 So, of the two  that is playing all Doubles after 10 Unmatched consecutively or all Unmatched after 4 Doubles there is not much between them both giving overall about a 94% return but the doubles requiring less outlay at $22.50 than the Unmatched at $30. Some of you may note that this is not based on surmising or conjecture but on calculated facts! Overall the odds dominate but playing a large block of numbers such as all the Unmatched it is possible to make a profit if: 
Regards 

Lotto Draws have no relationship to one another; the integers serve just as identifiers. Any prediction calculation on one history of draws for a same type game is just as irrelevant as another.


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